![]() Who has only a degree or partial studies must be completed with an unemployment rate expected by 8% to 9% (green arrow). While it accounts for 14% in this segment, the unemployment rate for university graduates (blue arrow) is only slightly above 4%. Shares are, however, the winner (green arrow) with an increase of about 4% of the known indices.Ī detailed analysis shows that unemployment among primary insufficient trainees - No degree - (red arrow) occurs. Gold is the current losers (red arrow) since the beginning. In the precious metals silver could relax a little bit (two green arrows), but without changing my reservation. This is a real challenge.ĭespite these question marks to continue the bull market in stocks, albeit with fluctuations, this year. President Obama should be in the next 21 months on the job creation focus in order to secure his re-election in November 2012. A repeated sliding into a recession must be avoided at all costs. At present, the central banks are, however, their hands tied, as it mainly comes to promoting economic growth. Large budget deficits can become a permanent burden. dollar is worth buying, while the euro interest at $ 1.30. On the currency sector of the euro and dollar are exposed to the favor of the speculators, which can lead to considerable distortions. Although I continue to falling oil price up to $ 75 per barrel consider possible is at least a temporary increase over the $ 100 mark can not be excluded. The political unrest in Egypt, will challenge not only the entire Middle East, but also employ the rest of the world. Only in 1966 came to an annual decline of 13%.ĭespite these positive statistics, however, also some question marks that can not be answered. ![]() In one case - 1994 - the S & P 500 lost only 1.5%, offset by dividends from income. In 26 of those years there was an annual increase. Since In 1950 there were 28 years when both the five-day indicator and the entire January showed an increase. This increases the likelihood of a positive stock market year to around 95%, which virtually amounts to a guarantee. The January as already concluded the five-day indicator in positive territory. With a new record high of 8150 at least I expect later this year. The Dax is even at the highest level in three years. The current index level was last seen in June 2008. Only once did two weeks ago to a negligible interruption. Is the beginning of December, the Dow Jones in an almost unbroken ten-week uptrend that has been an increase of almost 10%.
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